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Water Supply Conditions
Water Planning Committee
June 26, 2014 Presented by: Lesley Dobalian
Water Resources Specialist
2
MWD 2014 Water Supply and Demand Balance
Water Balance Acre-Feet
Total Supplies 858,000
Colorado River 755,000
State Water Project 103,000
Estimated Member Agency Demands 1,937,000
New Water Balance -1,079,000
 Excludes Water Authority Colorado River Transfer supplies
 Negative balance made up through storage and other supplies
 Actual balance may change as year progresses
Source: MWD June 10, 2014 Water Planning and Stewardship Committee
Source: MWD June 10, 2014 Water Planning and Stewardship Committee
 Due to reduced storage reserves, MWD may implement its Water
Supply Allocation Plan in 2015 if conditions continue to be dry
3
Fiscal Year Potable Water Use in
Water Authority Service Area
20,000
40,000
60,000
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Acre-Feet
Water Use FY13 (AF) Water Use FY14 (AF)
Notes: July – May of FY 2014 was 4% higher than FY 2013
Nov – May of FY 2014 was significantly warmer than FY 2013
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Fiscal Year 2013 Fiscal Year 2014
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Average Daily Maximum Temperature at
Lindbergh Field - Departure from Normal (˚F)
Hotter
Cooler
Ave Daily Max Temp:
November – May of FY 2014 was 4.3˚F warmer than normal
May 2014 was 7.3˚F warmer than normal
6
Summer Outlook
Temperature Outlook
July – September 2014
Climate Prediction Center: Chance of El Niño is 70% during the
summer and reaches 80% during fall and winter (June 23, 2014)
7
Potential Emergency Regulations in Response to
Governor’s April 25, 2014 Executive Order
 Executive Order contains directives to SWRCB
 Request update from urban agencies on actions to
reduce water usage
 Adopt emergency regulations as necessary
 SWRCB survey sent to urban water suppliers
 Technical disagreement over time period for comparison
 Using 2011 - 2013 base period doesn’t reflect southern
California conservation gains
8
Potential SWRCB Emergency Drought Regulations
 Information item at SWRCB Board Meeting on June 17
 Proposed emergency regulations at July 15 SWRCB
meeting
 Current focus on water waste prohibitions
 Ongoing discussion about what will be in proposed
regulations
 Discuss with member agency managers on July 15
9
Conclusion
 Staff closely monitor SWRCB actions
 Participate in MWD Member agency review
process of WSAP this summer
 Prepare 2015 outlook scenarios
 Return with detailed report in fall

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Water Supply Conditions, June 26, 2014

  • 1. Water Supply Conditions Water Planning Committee June 26, 2014 Presented by: Lesley Dobalian Water Resources Specialist
  • 2. 2 MWD 2014 Water Supply and Demand Balance Water Balance Acre-Feet Total Supplies 858,000 Colorado River 755,000 State Water Project 103,000 Estimated Member Agency Demands 1,937,000 New Water Balance -1,079,000  Excludes Water Authority Colorado River Transfer supplies  Negative balance made up through storage and other supplies  Actual balance may change as year progresses Source: MWD June 10, 2014 Water Planning and Stewardship Committee
  • 3. Source: MWD June 10, 2014 Water Planning and Stewardship Committee  Due to reduced storage reserves, MWD may implement its Water Supply Allocation Plan in 2015 if conditions continue to be dry 3
  • 4. Fiscal Year Potable Water Use in Water Authority Service Area 20,000 40,000 60,000 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Acre-Feet Water Use FY13 (AF) Water Use FY14 (AF) Notes: July – May of FY 2014 was 4% higher than FY 2013 Nov – May of FY 2014 was significantly warmer than FY 2013
  • 5. -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 Fiscal Year 2013 Fiscal Year 2014 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Average Daily Maximum Temperature at Lindbergh Field - Departure from Normal (˚F) Hotter Cooler Ave Daily Max Temp: November – May of FY 2014 was 4.3˚F warmer than normal May 2014 was 7.3˚F warmer than normal
  • 6. 6 Summer Outlook Temperature Outlook July – September 2014 Climate Prediction Center: Chance of El Niño is 70% during the summer and reaches 80% during fall and winter (June 23, 2014)
  • 7. 7 Potential Emergency Regulations in Response to Governor’s April 25, 2014 Executive Order  Executive Order contains directives to SWRCB  Request update from urban agencies on actions to reduce water usage  Adopt emergency regulations as necessary  SWRCB survey sent to urban water suppliers  Technical disagreement over time period for comparison  Using 2011 - 2013 base period doesn’t reflect southern California conservation gains
  • 8. 8 Potential SWRCB Emergency Drought Regulations  Information item at SWRCB Board Meeting on June 17  Proposed emergency regulations at July 15 SWRCB meeting  Current focus on water waste prohibitions  Ongoing discussion about what will be in proposed regulations  Discuss with member agency managers on July 15
  • 9. 9 Conclusion  Staff closely monitor SWRCB actions  Participate in MWD Member agency review process of WSAP this summer  Prepare 2015 outlook scenarios  Return with detailed report in fall