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Project	
  financing	
  in	
  public	
  projects	
  and	
  a	
  
case	
  study	
  of	
  a	
  Public-­‐Private-­‐Partnership	
  
project:	
  Chicago	
  Skyway	
  Long-­‐term	
  
Lease	
	
  
Project	
  Financing	
  in	
  Public	
  Projects	
  
	
  
March.	
  20.	
  2014	
  	
  
Xinyi	
  Xue	
  
Master	
  of	
  Project	
  Management	
  Program	
  	
  
Table	
  of	
  Contents	
  
Introduction	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Conclusion	
  
	
	
1Project	
  Financing	
  in	
  
Public	
  Construction	
  
Projects	
  
	
2 	
3
Project	
  Financing	
  
Process:	
  Feasibility	
  
Analysis	
  and	
  Risk	
  
Control	
  	
  
Case	
  study-­‐-­‐-­‐	
  Chicago	
  
Skyway	
  Long-­‐term	
  
Operating	
  Lease	
  	
  
Three	
  Questions	
  	
  
	
  
•  Where	
  does	
  the	
  money	
  come	
  
from?	
  
•  How	
  the	
  money	
  is	
  allocated?	
  
•  How	
  to	
  ensure	
  that	
  the	
  money	
  is	
  
properly	
  used?	
  
Project	
  Financing	
  in	
  
Public	
  Construction	
  
Projects	
1.1	
  What	
  is	
  Project	
  Financing?	
  
1.2	
  Project	
  Financing	
  Process	
  
1.3	
  Financing	
  Mode	
  for	
  Public	
  Construction	
  Projects	
  	
  
1.4	
  Public-­‐Private-­‐Partnership	
  
	
1
1.1	
  What	
  is	
  Project	
  Financing	
  
Project	
  finance	
  is	
  defined	
  by	
  the	
  International	
  Project	
  Finance	
  
Association	
  (IPFA)	
  as	
  the	
  following	
  (Investopedia’s,	
  2014)	
  :	
  	
  
	
  
“The	
  financing	
  of	
  long-­‐term	
  infrastructure,	
  industrial	
  
projects	
  and	
  public	
  services	
  based	
  upon	
  a	
  non-­‐recourse	
  or	
  
limited	
  recourse	
  financial	
  structure	
  where	
  project	
  debt	
  and	
  
equity	
  used	
  to	
  finance	
  the	
  project	
  are	
  paid	
  back	
  from	
  the	
  
cash	
  flow	
  generated	
  by	
  the	
  project.”	
  
	
  
Main	
  Characteristics	
  
•  Based	
  on	
  projects	
  instead	
  of	
  on	
  the	
  project	
  sponsors.	
  
•  Debt	
  and	
  Equity	
  are	
  paid	
  back	
  from	
  the	
  cash	
  flow	
  
generated	
  by	
  the	
  project.	
  
•  The	
  project	
  debt	
  lenders	
  bear	
  the	
  risks.	
  
•  Non-­‐recourse	
  or	
  limited	
  recourse	
  financing	
  structure.	
  
1.2	
  Project	
  Financing	
  Process	
  
	
	
Conduct	
  
Feasibility	
  
Study	
  
Syndicate	
  
Banks	
  
Prepare	
  
Legal	
  
Files	
  
Negotiate	
  
and	
  Make	
  
Changes	
  
Sign	
  Official	
  	
  
Paperwork	
  	
  
Project	
  Team	
  
•  Project	
  sponsors:	
  lead	
  the	
  project	
  
•  Advisors:	
  help	
  project	
  sponsors	
  in	
  investment	
  
structures	
  
•  Lawyers:	
  prepare	
  legal	
  files,	
  make	
  changes	
  after	
  
negotiation	
  
•  Insurer:	
  Help	
  the	
  sponsors	
  to	
  get	
  the	
  proper	
  insurances	
  
for	
  risk	
  management	
  
1.3	
  	
  Financing	
  Mode	
  for	
  Public	
  
Construction	
  Projects	
  (Ren,	
  X.Y.,	
  Xu,	
  &	
  Ren,	
  L.B.,	
  2000)
•  Tolling	
  Agreement	
  Method	
  
•  Production	
  Payment	
  
•  Build-­‐Operate-­‐Transfer	
  
•  Public-­‐Private-­‐Partnership	
  
1.3.1	
  Tolling	
  Agreement	
  Method
•  Between	
  instrument	
  user	
  and	
  service	
  provider	
  	
  
•  The	
  user	
  pays	
  no	
  matter	
  they	
  use	
  the	
  instrument	
  
or	
  not.	
  
•  Applied	
  in	
  service	
  instruments	
  projects:	
  natural	
  
gas	
  pipeline,	
  power	
  generation	
  facility,	
  and	
  
railway	
  development	
  projects.	
  
1.3.2	
  Production	
  Payment	
  method
•  Lender	
  owns	
  products	
  of	
  the	
  project	
  as	
  
collateral	
  until	
  the	
  debt	
  is	
  paid	
  off	
  	
  
•  Applied	
  in	
  oil,	
  gas,	
  minerals	
  development	
  
projects	
  
1.3.3	
  Build-­‐Operate-­‐Transfer
•  Build	
  by	
  companies	
  
•  Operate	
  &	
  Transfer:	
  Operate	
  to	
  get	
  profit,	
  then	
  
return	
  the	
  ownership	
  to	
  the	
  local	
  government	
  
•  Applied	
  in	
  public	
  facilities	
  projects:	
  toll-­‐way	
  
construction	
  projects	
  
1.4	
  Public-­‐Private-­‐Partnership	
  (PPP)
•  PPP	
  is	
  a	
  structure	
  that	
  uses	
  private	
  
investment	
  to	
  undertake	
  infrastructure	
  
development	
  that	
  has	
  historically	
  been	
  the	
  
preserve	
  of	
  the	
  public	
  sector.	
  	
  
•  Popular	
  in	
  projects	
  like	
  a	
  power	
  plant,	
  airport,	
  toll	
  road,	
  
tunnel,	
  bridge,	
  water	
  treatment	
  plant,	
  hospital,	
  school	
  or	
  
government	
  building.	
  	
  
Two	
  Main	
  Characteristics	
  of	
  PPP
•  PPP	
  urges	
  government	
  to	
  enhance	
  efficiency	
  in	
  public	
  
instrument	
  construction	
  projects.	
  	
  
•  PPP	
  is	
  a	
  way	
  to	
  realize	
  project	
  financing	
  risk	
  re-­‐allocation.	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  PPP	
  is	
  becoming	
  more	
  popular	
  as	
  a	
  way	
  to	
  mitigate	
  risks	
  
for	
  the	
  government	
  (Koppenjan,	
  2005).	
  
Eight	
  Methods	
  to	
  build	
  PPP(Zhang,	
  2003)
•  Service	
  Contract	
  
•  Operate	
  and	
  Maintenance	
  Contract	
  
•  Lease-­‐Build-­‐Operate	
  
•  Build-­‐Transfer-­‐Operate	
  
•  Build-­‐Operate-­‐Transfer	
  
•  Wraparound	
  Addition	
  
•  Buy-­‐Build-­‐Operate	
  
•  Build-­‐Own-­‐Operate	
  
2 Project	
  Financing	
  
Process:	
  Feasibility	
  
analysis	
  and	
  Risk	
  control	
2.1	
  Feasibility	
  Analysis	
  
2.2	
  Risk	
  Recognition	
  in	
  Public	
  Projects	
  	
  
2.3	
  Risk	
  Management	
  
2.1	
  Feasibility	
  Analysis
•  To	
  come	
  up	
  with	
  investment	
  decisions	
  and	
  
financing	
  decisions:	
  	
  
•  Comprehensive	
  Project	
  Report	
  
•  Quantitative	
  Analysis	
Feasibility
Study	
Risk
Recognition	
Quantitative
Analysis	
Risk
Control
2.1.1	
  Comprehensive	
  Project	
  Report	
  
•  The	
  comprehensive	
  project	
  report	
  includes:	
  the	
  need	
  for	
  the	
  project,	
  
the	
  project	
  goal,	
  market	
  projection,	
  resource	
  research	
  (for	
  mining	
  or	
  
gas	
  projects),	
  construction	
  scale	
  and	
  product	
  design,	
  technology	
  
limitation	
  and	
  supportive	
  resources,	
  environmental	
  affects,	
  
investment	
  projection,	
  financing	
  methods,	
  profitability	
  analysis,	
  
social	
  affects,	
  and	
  conclusion	
  (Esty,	
  2004).	
  	
  
•  Those	
  aspects	
  cover	
  all	
  the	
  information	
  necessary	
  for	
  investment	
  
decision-­‐making.	
  	
  
Two	
  steps	
  in	
  Financial	
  Feasibility	
  Analysis:	
  
•  First,	
  forecast	
  all	
  cash	
  flows:	
  the	
  investment	
  cost	
  of	
  the	
  
project,	
  principle	
  and	
  interest	
  payment	
  for	
  loan.	
  	
  
•  Secondly,	
  choose	
  the	
  project	
  that	
  can	
  provide	
  profit	
  based	
  
on	
  capital	
  budget.	
  	
  
2.1.2	
  Financial	
  Feasibility	
  Analysis
2.2	
  Risk	
  Recognition
•  Risks	
  could	
  be	
  system	
  risks	
  or	
  non-­‐system	
  risks.	
  	
  
•  System	
  risks	
  include	
  Country	
  Risks	
  and	
  Disaster	
  Risks.	
  
•  Non-­‐system	
  risks	
  include	
  Credit	
  Risks,	
  Completion	
  
Risks,	
  Operating	
  Risks,	
  Market	
  Risks	
  and	
  
Environmental	
  Risks.	
  
Feasibility
Study	
Risk
Recognition	
Quantitative
Analysis	
Risk
Control
Milestone	
  of	
  
Project	
  Start	
  
Project	
  Construction	
  
Phase	
  
•  Utilizes	
  most	
  of	
  
the	
  loan	
  
•  Could	
  be	
  years,	
  
depend	
  on	
  scale	
  of	
  
project	
  
Project	
  Operations	
  
Phase	
  
•  The	
  pressure	
  to	
  pay	
  
debt	
  is	
  heavier	
  
•  Could	
  be	
  years,	
  
depends	
  on	
  loan	
  
agreement	
  
Different	
  Phases	
  Risks	
  in	
  Public	
  Projects	
  
2.3	
  Risk	
  Management	
o  Quantitative	
  Analysis:	
  conduct	
  Quantitative	
  
Analysis	
  to	
  manage	
  financing	
  risks	
  
o  Risk	
  Control:	
  develop	
  Risk	
  Control	
  Strategies	
  
along	
  with	
  Feasibility	
  Analysis,	
  Risk	
  
Recognition,	
  and	
  Quantitative	
  Analysis	
  	
  
Feasibility
Study	
Risk
Recognition	
Quantitative
Analysis	
Risk
Control	
	
  	
  
Two	
  ways	
  for	
  quantitative	
  analysis:	
  	
  
•  Calculate	
  the	
  Project	
  Return	
  Rate	
  
•  Conduct	
  Sensitivity	
  Analysis	
  (Zhang,	
  2003,	
  p.	
  189-­‐204)	
  
•  Choose	
  an	
  indicator	
  
•  Determine	
  uncertainties	
  
•  Conduct	
  uni-­‐variate	
  or	
  multivariate	
  sensitivity	
  analysis	
  
2.3.1	
  Quantitative	
  Analysis
2.3.2	
  Risk	
  Control
Feasibility
Study	
Risk
Recognition	
Quantitative
Analysis	
Risk
Control	
	
  	
  
•  Risks	
  control	
  strategies	
  are	
  developed	
  along	
  all	
  the	
  
former	
  studies.	
  	
  Examples:	
  
•  Forming	
  PPP	
  to	
  reduce	
  Credit	
  Risks	
  
•  Insurances,	
  Guarantee	
  
3 Case	
  study-­‐-­‐-­‐	
  Chicago	
  
Skyway	
  Long-­‐term	
  
Operating	
  Lease	
  	
3.1	
  Background	
  of	
  Chicago	
  Skyway	
  
3.2	
  Project	
  Sponsors	
  
3.3	
  Lease	
  
3.4	
  Feasibility	
  Study	
  and	
  Risk	
  Management	
  
3.5	
  Benefits	
  of	
  PPP	
  	
  
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6oglmRNQ5fA	
  
3:20
Why	
  Chicago	
  Skyway?
•  The	
  first	
  time	
  a	
  U.S.	
  toll	
  road	
  has	
  been	
  privatized.	
  
•  After	
  the	
  transaction,	
  the	
  credit	
  rate	
  of	
  the	
  City	
  of	
  
Chicago	
  was	
  uprated.	
  
3.1	
  Chicago	
  Skyway	
  Background	
  
•  A	
  7.8-­‐mile	
  elevated	
  toll	
  road	
  
•  Connecting	
  I-­‐94	
  in	
  Chicago	
  to	
  I-­‐90	
  at	
  the	
  Indiana	
  border	
  
•  Once	
  an	
  unprofitable	
  enterprise	
  
•  In	
  2004,	
  a	
  $1.83	
  billion	
  transaction	
  was	
  announced.	
  The	
  
government	
  leased	
  the	
  Skyway	
  to	
  Skyway	
  Concession	
  
Company	
  for	
  99	
  years.	
  	
  
	
  
3.2	
  Project	
  Sponsors
Skyway	
  
Concession	
  
Company	
  
Australian	
  
Macquarie	
  
Infrastructure	
  
Group	
  	
  
The	
  City	
  of	
  
Chicago	
  
Chicago	
  
Skyway	
  
Transporte	
  
South	
  
America	
  
Form	
  PPP
3.3	
  Lease
•  99-­‐year	
  lease	
  
•  SCC	
  is	
  responsible	
  for	
  all	
  operating	
  and	
  
maintenance	
  costs	
  of	
  the	
  Skyway	
  but	
  has	
  the	
  
right	
  to	
  all	
  toll	
  and	
  concession	
  revenue.	
  	
•  The	
  city	
  takes	
  the	
  $1.83	
  billion	
  cash.	
  	
  
3.4	
  Feasibility	
  Study	
  and	
  Risk	
  
Management	
  
•  Macro	
  Risks	
  
•  Transporte	
  S.A.’s	
  headquarter	
  is	
  in	
  Spain	
  and	
  MQA	
  is	
  
listed	
  in	
  Australia,	
  they	
  may	
  have	
  Foreign	
  Exchange	
  
Risks,	
  Interest	
  Rate	
  Risks	
  and	
  Inflation	
  Risks.	
  	
  
•  They	
  founded	
  SCC	
  as	
  local	
  company	
  to	
  reduce	
  risks.	
  	
  
•  Market	
  Risks	
  
•  Was	
  not	
  profitable	
  for	
  the	
  government.	
  
•  May	
  have	
  an	
  overrun	
  of	
  expense	
  without	
  enough	
  
revenue.	
  	
  
•  They	
  manage	
  the	
  market	
  risk	
  by	
  stating	
  in	
  the	
  lease	
  
that	
  they	
  maintain	
  the	
  right	
  to	
  increase	
  the	
  price	
  in	
  
the	
  following	
  decades	
  (SCC,	
  2010).	
  	
  
Toll	
  changes
Data	
  source:	
  http://www.chicagoskyway.org/tolls/
3.5	
  Benefits	
  of	
  PPP
•  Increases	
  the	
  governments’	
  efficiency	
  as	
  
well	
  as	
  benefits	
  the	
  private	
  sectors	
  	
•  The	
  government	
  	
  
•  SCC	
  
•  Local	
  commuters	
  
Conclusion	
  
Where	
  does	
  the	
  money	
  come	
  from?	
  
•  Conduct	
  feasibility	
  study	
  to	
  decide	
  if	
  the	
  project	
  is	
  profitable	
  
How	
  the	
  money	
  is	
  allocated?	
  	
  
•  Conduct	
  risk	
  recognition	
  and	
  control	
  to	
  design	
  investment	
  structure	
  
and	
  financing	
  mode	
  
How	
  to	
  ensure	
  the	
  money	
  is	
  properly	
  used?	
  	
  
•  Reach	
  an	
  agreement	
  and	
  sign	
  the	
  contracts.	
  Apply	
  risk	
  control	
  
strategies,	
  such	
  as	
  founding	
  a	
  local	
  company	
  to	
  manage	
  the	
  project.	
  
The	
  Future	
  of	
  PPP	
  
•  It	
  was	
  the	
  first	
  but	
  not	
  the	
  last.	
  	
  
•  Nowadays,	
  there	
  are	
  many	
  private	
  toll	
  roads	
  in	
  USA,	
  
such	
  as	
  Foley	
  Beach	
  Expressway	
  in	
  Orange	
  Beach	
  of	
  
Alabama	
  and	
  Poinciana	
  Parkway	
  in	
  central	
  Florida.	
  	
•  Be	
  Creative!	
  
References	
  
City	
  of	
  Chicago.	
  (2010).	
  Public	
  Private	
  Partnerships.	
  Retrieved	
  from	
  http://www.cityofchicago.org/city/en/depts/fin/
supp_info/public_private_partnerships.html	
  
	
  	
  
Chicago’s	
  Department	
  of	
  Street	
  and	
  Sanitation	
  (CDSS).	
  (2010).	
  About	
  Us-­‐Mission.	
  Retrieved	
  from	
  https://
www.cityofchicago.org/city/en/depts/streets.html	
  	
  
	
  
International	
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  (IPFA),	
  (n.d.).	
  About	
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  The	
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  Infrastructure	
  Projects	
  	
  
in	
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  (2014).	
  About	
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mqa/about-­‐mqa	
  
	
  
Ren,	
  X.Y.,	
  Xu,	
  X.F.,	
  Ren,	
  L.B.	
  (2000),	
  Social	
  Assessment	
  for	
  Construction	
  Projects,	
  Beijing,	
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  Zhong	
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  Gong	
  Shang	
  Lian	
  
Press	
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Samuel,	
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  (2005,	
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  29).	
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  is	
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  unless	
  state	
  withdraws	
  reports	
  -­‐	
  Feds".	
  TOLLROADS	
  News.	
  Retrieved	
  
from:	
  http://tollroadsnews.com/news/skyway-­‐is-­‐interstate-­‐90-­‐unless-­‐state-­‐withdraws-­‐reports-­‐-­‐-­‐feds	
  
	
  
	
  Skyway	
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  Company,	
  LLC.	
  (2005).	
  About	
  the	
  Skyway.	
  Retrieved	
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  http://www.chicagoskyway.org/.	
  
	
  
Southern	
  Illinoisian’s	
  journalist	
  (2004,	
  Oct.	
  17)	
  "Chicago	
  privatizes	
  Skyway	
  toll	
  road	
  in	
  $1.8	
  billion	
  deal".	
  Southern	
  Illinoisian,	
  
Carbondale,	
  IL:	
  Associated	
  Press.	
  Retrieved	
  from:	
  http://docs.newsbank.com	
  
	
  
	
  Transporte	
  South	
  America	
  (2000).	
  About	
  History	
  of	
  Transporte	
  South	
  America.	
  Retrieved	
  from:	
  http://www.cintra.es	
  
	
  
Zhang,	
  J.	
  (2003).	
  Project	
  Financing,	
  Edition	
  2,	
  Beijing,	
  PRC:	
  Citic	
  Press	
  Group	
  Inc.	
  
	
  
Questions?	
Thank You!

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Project Financing in Public Projects

  • 1. Project  financing  in  public  projects  and  a   case  study  of  a  Public-­‐Private-­‐Partnership   project:  Chicago  Skyway  Long-­‐term   Lease   Project  Financing  in  Public  Projects     March.  20.  2014     Xinyi  Xue   Master  of  Project  Management  Program    
  • 2. Table  of  Contents   Introduction                                                                                                                                                                    Conclusion   1Project  Financing  in   Public  Construction   Projects   2 3 Project  Financing   Process:  Feasibility   Analysis  and  Risk   Control     Case  study-­‐-­‐-­‐  Chicago   Skyway  Long-­‐term   Operating  Lease    
  • 3. Three  Questions       •  Where  does  the  money  come   from?   •  How  the  money  is  allocated?   •  How  to  ensure  that  the  money  is   properly  used?  
  • 4. Project  Financing  in   Public  Construction   Projects 1.1  What  is  Project  Financing?   1.2  Project  Financing  Process   1.3  Financing  Mode  for  Public  Construction  Projects     1.4  Public-­‐Private-­‐Partnership   1
  • 5. 1.1  What  is  Project  Financing   Project  finance  is  defined  by  the  International  Project  Finance   Association  (IPFA)  as  the  following  (Investopedia’s,  2014)  :       “The  financing  of  long-­‐term  infrastructure,  industrial   projects  and  public  services  based  upon  a  non-­‐recourse  or   limited  recourse  financial  structure  where  project  debt  and   equity  used  to  finance  the  project  are  paid  back  from  the   cash  flow  generated  by  the  project.”    
  • 6. Main  Characteristics   •  Based  on  projects  instead  of  on  the  project  sponsors.   •  Debt  and  Equity  are  paid  back  from  the  cash  flow   generated  by  the  project.   •  The  project  debt  lenders  bear  the  risks.   •  Non-­‐recourse  or  limited  recourse  financing  structure.  
  • 7. 1.2  Project  Financing  Process   Conduct   Feasibility   Study   Syndicate   Banks   Prepare   Legal   Files   Negotiate   and  Make   Changes   Sign  Official     Paperwork    
  • 8. Project  Team   •  Project  sponsors:  lead  the  project   •  Advisors:  help  project  sponsors  in  investment   structures   •  Lawyers:  prepare  legal  files,  make  changes  after   negotiation   •  Insurer:  Help  the  sponsors  to  get  the  proper  insurances   for  risk  management  
  • 9. 1.3    Financing  Mode  for  Public   Construction  Projects  (Ren,  X.Y.,  Xu,  &  Ren,  L.B.,  2000) •  Tolling  Agreement  Method   •  Production  Payment   •  Build-­‐Operate-­‐Transfer   •  Public-­‐Private-­‐Partnership  
  • 10. 1.3.1  Tolling  Agreement  Method •  Between  instrument  user  and  service  provider     •  The  user  pays  no  matter  they  use  the  instrument   or  not.   •  Applied  in  service  instruments  projects:  natural   gas  pipeline,  power  generation  facility,  and   railway  development  projects.  
  • 11. 1.3.2  Production  Payment  method •  Lender  owns  products  of  the  project  as   collateral  until  the  debt  is  paid  off     •  Applied  in  oil,  gas,  minerals  development   projects  
  • 12. 1.3.3  Build-­‐Operate-­‐Transfer •  Build  by  companies   •  Operate  &  Transfer:  Operate  to  get  profit,  then   return  the  ownership  to  the  local  government   •  Applied  in  public  facilities  projects:  toll-­‐way   construction  projects  
  • 13. 1.4  Public-­‐Private-­‐Partnership  (PPP) •  PPP  is  a  structure  that  uses  private   investment  to  undertake  infrastructure   development  that  has  historically  been  the   preserve  of  the  public  sector.     •  Popular  in  projects  like  a  power  plant,  airport,  toll  road,   tunnel,  bridge,  water  treatment  plant,  hospital,  school  or   government  building.    
  • 14. Two  Main  Characteristics  of  PPP •  PPP  urges  government  to  enhance  efficiency  in  public   instrument  construction  projects.     •  PPP  is  a  way  to  realize  project  financing  risk  re-­‐allocation.              PPP  is  becoming  more  popular  as  a  way  to  mitigate  risks   for  the  government  (Koppenjan,  2005).  
  • 15. Eight  Methods  to  build  PPP(Zhang,  2003) •  Service  Contract   •  Operate  and  Maintenance  Contract   •  Lease-­‐Build-­‐Operate   •  Build-­‐Transfer-­‐Operate   •  Build-­‐Operate-­‐Transfer   •  Wraparound  Addition   •  Buy-­‐Build-­‐Operate   •  Build-­‐Own-­‐Operate  
  • 16. 2 Project  Financing   Process:  Feasibility   analysis  and  Risk  control 2.1  Feasibility  Analysis   2.2  Risk  Recognition  in  Public  Projects     2.3  Risk  Management  
  • 17. 2.1  Feasibility  Analysis •  To  come  up  with  investment  decisions  and   financing  decisions:     •  Comprehensive  Project  Report   •  Quantitative  Analysis Feasibility Study Risk Recognition Quantitative Analysis Risk Control
  • 18. 2.1.1  Comprehensive  Project  Report   •  The  comprehensive  project  report  includes:  the  need  for  the  project,   the  project  goal,  market  projection,  resource  research  (for  mining  or   gas  projects),  construction  scale  and  product  design,  technology   limitation  and  supportive  resources,  environmental  affects,   investment  projection,  financing  methods,  profitability  analysis,   social  affects,  and  conclusion  (Esty,  2004).     •  Those  aspects  cover  all  the  information  necessary  for  investment   decision-­‐making.    
  • 19. Two  steps  in  Financial  Feasibility  Analysis:   •  First,  forecast  all  cash  flows:  the  investment  cost  of  the   project,  principle  and  interest  payment  for  loan.     •  Secondly,  choose  the  project  that  can  provide  profit  based   on  capital  budget.     2.1.2  Financial  Feasibility  Analysis
  • 20. 2.2  Risk  Recognition •  Risks  could  be  system  risks  or  non-­‐system  risks.     •  System  risks  include  Country  Risks  and  Disaster  Risks.   •  Non-­‐system  risks  include  Credit  Risks,  Completion   Risks,  Operating  Risks,  Market  Risks  and   Environmental  Risks.   Feasibility Study Risk Recognition Quantitative Analysis Risk Control
  • 21. Milestone  of   Project  Start   Project  Construction   Phase   •  Utilizes  most  of   the  loan   •  Could  be  years,   depend  on  scale  of   project   Project  Operations   Phase   •  The  pressure  to  pay   debt  is  heavier   •  Could  be  years,   depends  on  loan   agreement   Different  Phases  Risks  in  Public  Projects  
  • 22. 2.3  Risk  Management o  Quantitative  Analysis:  conduct  Quantitative   Analysis  to  manage  financing  risks   o  Risk  Control:  develop  Risk  Control  Strategies   along  with  Feasibility  Analysis,  Risk   Recognition,  and  Quantitative  Analysis    
  • 23. Feasibility Study Risk Recognition Quantitative Analysis Risk Control     Two  ways  for  quantitative  analysis:     •  Calculate  the  Project  Return  Rate   •  Conduct  Sensitivity  Analysis  (Zhang,  2003,  p.  189-­‐204)   •  Choose  an  indicator   •  Determine  uncertainties   •  Conduct  uni-­‐variate  or  multivariate  sensitivity  analysis   2.3.1  Quantitative  Analysis
  • 24. 2.3.2  Risk  Control Feasibility Study Risk Recognition Quantitative Analysis Risk Control     •  Risks  control  strategies  are  developed  along  all  the   former  studies.    Examples:   •  Forming  PPP  to  reduce  Credit  Risks   •  Insurances,  Guarantee  
  • 25. 3 Case  study-­‐-­‐-­‐  Chicago   Skyway  Long-­‐term   Operating  Lease   3.1  Background  of  Chicago  Skyway   3.2  Project  Sponsors   3.3  Lease   3.4  Feasibility  Study  and  Risk  Management   3.5  Benefits  of  PPP     http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6oglmRNQ5fA   3:20
  • 26. Why  Chicago  Skyway? •  The  first  time  a  U.S.  toll  road  has  been  privatized.   •  After  the  transaction,  the  credit  rate  of  the  City  of   Chicago  was  uprated.  
  • 27. 3.1  Chicago  Skyway  Background   •  A  7.8-­‐mile  elevated  toll  road   •  Connecting  I-­‐94  in  Chicago  to  I-­‐90  at  the  Indiana  border   •  Once  an  unprofitable  enterprise   •  In  2004,  a  $1.83  billion  transaction  was  announced.  The   government  leased  the  Skyway  to  Skyway  Concession   Company  for  99  years.      
  • 28. 3.2  Project  Sponsors Skyway   Concession   Company   Australian   Macquarie   Infrastructure   Group     The  City  of   Chicago   Chicago   Skyway   Transporte   South   America   Form  PPP
  • 29. 3.3  Lease •  99-­‐year  lease   •  SCC  is  responsible  for  all  operating  and   maintenance  costs  of  the  Skyway  but  has  the   right  to  all  toll  and  concession  revenue.   •  The  city  takes  the  $1.83  billion  cash.    
  • 30. 3.4  Feasibility  Study  and  Risk   Management   •  Macro  Risks   •  Transporte  S.A.’s  headquarter  is  in  Spain  and  MQA  is   listed  in  Australia,  they  may  have  Foreign  Exchange   Risks,  Interest  Rate  Risks  and  Inflation  Risks.     •  They  founded  SCC  as  local  company  to  reduce  risks.    
  • 31. •  Market  Risks   •  Was  not  profitable  for  the  government.   •  May  have  an  overrun  of  expense  without  enough   revenue.     •  They  manage  the  market  risk  by  stating  in  the  lease   that  they  maintain  the  right  to  increase  the  price  in   the  following  decades  (SCC,  2010).    
  • 32. Toll  changes Data  source:  http://www.chicagoskyway.org/tolls/
  • 33. 3.5  Benefits  of  PPP •  Increases  the  governments’  efficiency  as   well  as  benefits  the  private  sectors   •  The  government     •  SCC   •  Local  commuters  
  • 34. Conclusion   Where  does  the  money  come  from?   •  Conduct  feasibility  study  to  decide  if  the  project  is  profitable   How  the  money  is  allocated?     •  Conduct  risk  recognition  and  control  to  design  investment  structure   and  financing  mode   How  to  ensure  the  money  is  properly  used?     •  Reach  an  agreement  and  sign  the  contracts.  Apply  risk  control   strategies,  such  as  founding  a  local  company  to  manage  the  project.  
  • 35. The  Future  of  PPP   •  It  was  the  first  but  not  the  last.     •  Nowadays,  there  are  many  private  toll  roads  in  USA,   such  as  Foley  Beach  Expressway  in  Orange  Beach  of   Alabama  and  Poinciana  Parkway  in  central  Florida.   •  Be  Creative!  
  • 36. References   City  of  Chicago.  (2010).  Public  Private  Partnerships.  Retrieved  from  http://www.cityofchicago.org/city/en/depts/fin/ supp_info/public_private_partnerships.html       Chicago’s  Department  of  Street  and  Sanitation  (CDSS).  (2010).  About  Us-­‐Mission.  Retrieved  from  https:// www.cityofchicago.org/city/en/depts/streets.html       International  Project  Finance  Association  (IPFA),  (n.d.).  About  Project  Finance.  Retrieved  from  http://www.ipfa.org/about/ projectfinance/     Koppenjan,  J.  J.,  (2005).  The  Formation  of  Public-­‐Private  Partnerships:  Lessons  from  Nine  Transport  Infrastructure  Projects     in  the  Netherlands.  Public  Administration,  83(1),  135-­‐157.     Macquarie  Atlas  Roads  (MQA).  (2014).  About  MQA-­‐Management.  Retrieved  from:  http://www.macquarie.com/mgl/com/ mqa/about-­‐mqa     Ren,  X.Y.,  Xu,  X.F.,  Ren,  L.B.  (2000),  Social  Assessment  for  Construction  Projects,  Beijing,  PRC:  Zhong  Hua  Gong  Shang  Lian   Press  Inc.     Samuel,  P.,  (2005,  Jun.  29).  "Skyway  is  Interstate-­‐90  unless  state  withdraws  reports  -­‐  Feds".  TOLLROADS  News.  Retrieved   from:  http://tollroadsnews.com/news/skyway-­‐is-­‐interstate-­‐90-­‐unless-­‐state-­‐withdraws-­‐reports-­‐-­‐-­‐feds      Skyway  Concession  Company,  LLC.  (2005).  About  the  Skyway.  Retrieved  from  http://www.chicagoskyway.org/.     Southern  Illinoisian’s  journalist  (2004,  Oct.  17)  "Chicago  privatizes  Skyway  toll  road  in  $1.8  billion  deal".  Southern  Illinoisian,   Carbondale,  IL:  Associated  Press.  Retrieved  from:  http://docs.newsbank.com      Transporte  South  America  (2000).  About  History  of  Transporte  South  America.  Retrieved  from:  http://www.cintra.es     Zhang,  J.  (2003).  Project  Financing,  Edition  2,  Beijing,  PRC:  Citic  Press  Group  Inc.